Dr. Ann Kristin Klose
Main Focus
Publications
Peer-Reviewed
Coulon, V.*/Klose, A.K.*, Edwards, T., Turner, F., Pattyn, F., and Winkelmann, R., 2025: From short-term uncertainties to long-term certainties in the future evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet, Nature Communications, 16, 10385. *Contributed equally to this work.
Abram, N.J., Purich, A., England, M.H., McCormack, F.S., Strugnell, J.M., Bergstrom, D.M., Vance, T.R., Stal, T., Wienecke, B., Heil, P., Doddridge, E.W., Sallée, J.-B., Williams, T.J., Reading, A.M., Mackintosh, A., Reese, R., Winkelmann, R., Klose, A.K., Boyd, P.W., Chown, S.L., and Robinson, S.A., 2025: Emerging evidence of abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment, Nature, 644, 621–633.
Klose, A.K., Coulon, V., Pattyn, F., and Winkelmann, R., 2024: The long-term sea-level commitment from Antarctica, The Cryosphere, 18, 4463–4492.
Seroussi, H., Pelle, T., Lipscomb, W. H., Abe-Ouchi, A., Albrecht, T., Alvarez-Solas, J., Asay-Davis, X., Barre, J.-B., Berends, C. J., Bernales, J., Blasco, J., Caillet, J., Chandler, D. M., Coulon, V., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton-Fenzi, B. K., Garbe, J., Gillet-Chaulet, F., Gladstone, R., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N., Greve, R., Gudmundsson, G. H., Han, H. K., Hillebrand, T. R., Hoffman, M. J., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Klose, A. K., Langebroek, P. M., Leguy, G. R., Lowry, D. P., Mathiot, P., Montoya, M., Morlighem, M., Nowicki, S., Pattyn, F., Payne, A. J., Quiquet, A., Reese, R., Robinson, A., Saraste, L., Simon, E. G., Sun, S., Twarog, J. P., Trusel, L. D., Urruty, B., Van Breedam, J., van de Wal, R. S. W., Wang, Y., Zhao, C., Zwinger, T., 2024: Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet over the next three centuries from an ISMIP6 model ensemble, Earth's Future, 12, e2024EF004561.
Klose, A.K., Donges, J.F., Feudel, U., and Winkelmann, R., 2024: Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 635–652.
Coulon, V., Klose, A.K., Kittel, C., Edwards, T., Turner, F., Winkelmann, R., and Pattyn, F., 2024: Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically calibrated ice-sheet model, The Cryosphere, 18, 653–681.
Wunderling, N., von der Heydt, A., Aksenov, Y., Barker, S., Bastiaansen, R., Brovkin, V., Brunetti, M., Couplet, V., Kleinen, T., Lear, C.H., Lohmann, J., Roman-Cuesta, R.M., Sinet, S., Swingedouw, D., Winkelmann, R., Anand, P., Barichivich, J., Bathiany, S., Baudena, M., Bruun, J.T., Chiessi, C.M., Coxall, H.K., Docquier, D., Donges, J.F., Falkena, S.K.J., Klose, A.K., Obura, D., Rocha, J., Rynders, S., Steinert, N.J., and Willeit, M., 2024: Climate tipping points and interactions: A review, Earth System Dynamics, 15, 41–74.
Klose, A. K., Wunderling, N., Winkelmann, R. and Donges, J.F., 2021: What do we mean, 'tipping cascade'?, Environmental Research Letters, 16, 125011.
Klose, A. K., Karle, V., Winkelmann, R. and Donges, J. F., 2020: Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate, Royal Society Open Science, 7, 200599.
Klose, A. K., van Westen, R. M., and Dijkstra, H. A., 2020: Phase synchronisation in the Kuroshio Current System, Ocean Science, 16, 435–449.
In Review
Beckmann, J., Reese, R., McCormack, F. S., Cook, S., Bird, L., Gwyther, D., Richards, D., Scheiter, M., Wang, Y., Seroussi, H., Abe‐Ouchi, A., Albrecht, T., Alvarez‐Solas, J., Asay‐Davis, X. S., Barre, J., Berends, C. J., Bernales, J., Blasco, J., Caillet, J., Chandler, D. M., Coulon, V., Cullather, R., Dumas, C., Galton‐Fenzi, B. K., Garbe, J., Gillet‐Chaulet, F., Gladstone, R., Goelzer, H., Golledge, N. R., Greve, R., Gudmundsson, G. H., Han, H. K., Hillebrand, T. R., Hoffman, M. J., Huybrechts, P., Jourdain, N. C., Klose, A. K., Langebroek, P. M., Leguy, G. R., Lipscomb, W. H., Lowry, D. P., Mathiot, P., Montoya, M., Morlighem, M., Nowicki, S., Pattyn, F., Payne, A. J., Pelle, T., Quiquet, A., Robinson, A., Saraste, L., Simon, E. G., Sun, S., Twarog, J. P., Trusel, L. D., Urruty, B., Van Breedam, J., van de Wal, R. S. W., Zhao, C., and Zwinger, T.: Disentangling uncertainty in ISMIP6 Antarctic sub-shelf melting and 2300 sea level rise projections.
Feldmann, J., Klose, A. K., Albrecht, T., and Winkelmann, R.: Rate-induced tipping of ice sheets due to visco-elastic Earth response under idealized conditions.
Harteg, J., Röhrich, L., De Maeyer, K., Garbe, J., Sakschewski, B., Klose, A. K., Donges, J. F., Winkelmann, R., and Loriani, S.: TOAD v1.0: A Python Framework for Detecting Abrupt Shifts and Coherent Spatial Domains in Earth-System Data.
Swingedouw, D., Jackson, L., Hu, A., Romanou, A., Laureanti, N. C., Weijer, W., Loriani, S., Otto-Bliesner, B., Abe-Ouchi, A., Almeida, L., Bellucci, A., Börner, R., Danabasoglu, G., Dennis, D. P., Devilliers, M., Drijfhout, S., Donges, J., Fröb, F., Frölicher, T. L., Gastineau, G., Goelzer, H., Guo, C., Hofmann, U., Höse, A., Jones, C., Koenigk, T., Klose, A. K., Lembo, V., Licon-Salaiz, J., Mankoff, K., Meccia, V., Melnikova, I., Mehling, O., Menviel, L., Mignot, J., Robson, J. I., Schmidt, G. A., Smith, R., Sun, Y., Trombini, I., Willeit, M., Wood, R., Wu, F., Zhaohui, L., and Winkelmann, R.: TIPMIP-OCEAN experimental protocol phase 1: Tipping dynamics of the AMOC.
Winkelmann, R., Dennis, D. P., Donges, J. F., Loriani, S., Klose, A. K., Abrams, J. F., Alvarez-Solas, J., Albrecht, T., Armstrong McKay, D., Bathiany, S., Blasco Navarro, J., Brovkin, V., Burke, E., Danabasoglu, G., Donner, R. V., Drüke, M., Georgievski, G., Goelzer, H., Harper, A. B., Hegerl, G., Hirota, M., Hu, A., Jackson, L. C., Jones, C., Kim, H., Koenigk, T., Lawrence, P., Lenton, T. M., Liddy, H., Licón-Saláiz, J., Menthon, M., Montoya, M., Nitzbon, J., Nowicki, S., Otto-Bliesner, B., Pausata, F., Rahmstorf, S., Ramin, K., Robinson, A., Rockström, J., Romanou, A., Sakschewski, B., Schädel, C., Sherwood, S., Smith, R. S., Steinert, N. J., Swingedouw, D., Willeit, M., Weijer, W., Wood, R., Wyser, K., and Yang, S.: The Tipping Points Modelling Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP): Assessing tipping point risks in the Earth system.
Policy Reports
Chapuis, A., ..., Klose, A.K., et al., 2025: Adapting to the changing cryosphere and sea-level rise: recommendations.
Winkelmann, R., ..., Klose, A. K., et al., 2023: Tipping points in the cryosphere. – In: Lenton, T. M., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Loriani, S., Abrams, J. F., Lade, S. J., Donges, J. F., Milkoreit, M., Powell, T., Smith, S. R., Zimm, C., Bailey, E., Buxton, J. E., Dyke, J. G., Ghadiali, A., Laybourn, L. (eds): The Global Tipping Points Report 2023, University of Exeter, UK.
Wunderling, N.*/von der Heydt, A.*, ..., Klose, A.K., et al., 2023: Climate tipping point interactions and cascades. – In: Lenton, T. M., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Loriani, S., Abrams, J. F., Lade, S. J., Donges, J. F., Milkoreit, M., Powell, T., Smith, S. R., Zimm, C., Bailey, E., Buxton, J. E., Dyke, J. G., Ghadiali, A., Laybourn, L. (eds): The Global Tipping Points Report 2023, University of Exeter, UK. *Contributed equally to this work.
Conference Contributions and Seminars
-
CMIP Community Workshop 2026, 9-13 March 2026, Kyoto, Japan
From short-term uncertainties to long-term certainties in the future evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet -
Tipping Points Seminar, Technical University Munich, 20 January 2026, online
Future trajectories of the Antarctic Ice Sheet: Linking sea-level projections and ice-sheet tipping dynamics -
ACCESS-NRI Cryosphere Modelling Working Group Seminar, 21 May 2025, online
Tipping dynamics in the Earth system: From transient to committed and irreversible changes -
EGU General Assembly, 27 April-2 May 2025, Vienna, Austria
From short-term uncertainties to long-term certainties in the future evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet -
PROTECT Final Meeting, 27-29 January 2025, Marche-en-Famenne, Belgium
Long-lasting and potentially irreversible Antarctic ice loss caused by warming overshoots -
AGU Annual Meeting, 9-13 December 2024, Washington DC, US
Long-lasting and potentially irreversible Antarctic ice loss caused by warming overshoots -
TIPMIP General Assembly, 4-7 December 2024, Baltimore, US
Long-term sea-level commitment and irreversibility of ice loss from Antarctica -
IGS Symposium on Verification and Validation of Cryospheric Models, 4-9 August 2024, Newcastle, UK
Long-lasting and irreversible Antarctic ice loss caused by warming overshoots -
EGU General Assembly, 14-19 April 2024, Vienna, Austria
Stability regimes and safe overshoots in West and East Antarctica -
Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, 9 April 2024, Jena, Germany
Long-term sea-level commitment and reversibility of ice loss from Antarctica -
Ice Dynamics and Paleoclimate Seminar, British Antarctic Survey, 8 November 2023, Cambridge, UK
Long-term sea-level commitment and reversibility of ice loss from Antarctica -
Cold Environments Seminar, Northumbria University, 1 November 2023, Newcastle, UK
Long-term sea-level commitment and reversibility of ice loss from Antarctica -
PROTECT Fall Meeting, 10-13 October 2023, Soesterberg (Utrecht), The Netherlands
Long-term sea-level commitment and reversibility of ice loss from Antarctica -
36th Forum for Research into Ice Shelf Processes (FRISP 2023), 19-22 June 2023, Stalheim, Norway
(Ir)reversibility of future Antarctic mass loss on multi-millennial timescales -
EGU General Assembly, 23-28 April 2023, Vienna, Austria
(Ir)reversibility of future Antarctic mass loss on multi-millennial timescales -
Math on Ice Forum, 6 February, 2023, online
Role of timescale differences for (cascading) tipping in the climate system -
PROTECT Fall Meeting, 4-7 October 2022, Grenoble, France
The long-term sea-level commitment from Antarctica -
EGU General Assembly, 23-27 May 2022, Vienna, Austria
The long-term sea-level commitment from Antarctica -
EGU General Assembly, 19-30 Apr 2021, online
Cascading tipping behavior of the interacting Greenland Ice Sheet and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a model of low complexity -
EGU General Assembly, 4-8 May 2020, online
Dynamic emergence of domino effects in systems of interacting tipping elements in ecology and climate
Training Schools and Workshops
- TIPMIP Domain Leads Meeting, 2-4 December 2025, Potsdam, Germany
- CriticalEarth Winter School on Critical Transitions in observed and simulated complex systems, 13-21 February 2023, Garching, Germany
-
PISM Workshop, 23-25 October 2022, Copenhagen, Denmark
The long-term sea-level commitment from Antarctica - Summer School on Ice Sheets and Glaciers in the Climate System, 24 May-4 June 2022, Karthaus, Italy
-
728. Wilhelm and Else Heraeus Seminar “Interacting tipping elements in the natural and social components of the Earth system”, 15-18 August 2021, Bad Belzig, Germany
Cascading tipping behavior of the interacting Greenland Ice Sheet and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a model of low complexity
Scientific Community Service
- since 2025: Co-Domain Lead (Ice Sheets) in the Tipping Points Modelling Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP)
- October 2022 - February 2025: Early Career Scientists Representative in EU-H2020 PROTECT Steering Committee
- March 2021 - April 2022: Elected member of the PhD Representatives at Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Germany
Outreach
- April 2026: Public talk, State Office for Environmental Protection Saxony-Anhalt, Halle, Germany
- November 2025: Public talk, German Meteorological Society, Bonn, Germany
- September 2025: Radio interview (radioeins - Die Profis, in German) on tipping dynamics and abrupt changes in Antarctica
- October 2021: Public talk, Evangelische Akademie Sachsen, Dresden, Germany